Central Florida Short Sales: What percentage of Short Sales close?

What percentage of Short Sales close?

www.CentralFloridaShortSales.com

Hi folks. This question has been on my mind for months now. "What percentage of Short Sales really close?" Most folks throw out numbers of 20% to 25%. But my opinion is that they are not only wrong but they are way off. I have been pulling data for several days now from my MLS trying to come up with some empirical proof. But it just ain't happening.

The problem is I can't tell how many withdrawn and expired listings were actually re-listed and closed. I guess I could flag the current listings and monitor them over a period of time. But hey...I have to work for a living so I'll pass on that. Anyway here is my unscientific conclusion.

First, I think I can agree that only 20%-25% of Short Sale TRANSACTIONS close. I can base this on my own experience. I know that it normally takes multiple transactions to get any one Short Sale closed. On some I have had as many as 5 different buyers before one actually stayed in the game through closing.

However, the percentage of transactions closing is far different than the percentage of Short Sales that actually close. Short Sales, in this case, meaning the property. My percentage of PROPERTIES that are being sold as Short Sales that close is well above 90%. And I also know that MOST of the agents that list and sale Short Sales regularly close 90% or more. The reason our percentages are so high is because experienced Short Sale agents qualify their Sellers at time of listing. Our Sellers are educated and are prepared to go the distance. Educated Sellers are willing to participate in the Short Sale transaction.

Too many Buyers Agents, on the other hand, are just throwing transactions out there and hoping they stick. I know this from experience too.  Even when we (listing agents) fully disclose the Short Sale process and negotiate a contract with 120 days for Short Sale Approval, Buyers and their agents, STILL get antsy after 45 days and start looking for ways to get out of the Short Sale contract.

I guess...."What percentage of Short Sales close?".....depends on who you ask. Ask an inexperienced agent and they'll tell you 20%-25%. Ask an experienced  Short Sale agent and we'll tell you 90%. Both are right. I can think of no better reason to hire an experienced Short Sale agent if you are needing to sell your property as a Short Sale.

So let me ask you this...."What percentage of YOUR Short Sales close?"

Do NOT be foreclosed on! Avoid foreclosure. Short Sales DO close.

Want to find out more? www.CentralFloridaShortSales.com

***I am NOT an Attorney nor do I play one on TV. Click the button below for my Bio.

The BIO for Bryant Tutas

Copyright © 2010 http://www.brokerbryant.com/ | All Rights Reserved

 

 

short or stay

Do NOT be foreclosed on! Avoid foreclosure. Short Sales DO close.

Want to find out more? www.CentralFloridaShortSales.com

***I am NOT an Attorney nor do I play one on TV. Click the button below for my Bio.

The BIO for Bryant Tutas

 

 Tutas Towne Realty, Inc handles Florida real estate sales, Florida short sales, Florida strategic short sales, Florida pre-foreclosure sales, Florida foreclosures in Kissimmee Florida Short Sales, Davenport Florida Short Sales, Haines City Florida Short Sales, Poinciana Florida Short Sales, Solivita Florida Short Sales,  Orlando Florida Short Sales, Celebration Florida Short Sales, Winderemere Florida Short Sales. Serving all of Polk, Osceola and Orange Counties Florida. Florida Short Sale Broker. Short Sale Florida.

 Copyright © 2011 http://www.brokerbryant.com/ | All Rights Reserved

Comments

Reserved for TLW

Posted by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc almost 2 years ago

BB, I think that if you included your own transactions that the buyers walked out on and you had to get a new buyer in the number of failed transactions, even though you picked up another buyer and EVENTUALLY CLOSED on the sale of that particular property, then even your very successful 90% figure might drop a tad.  Right?

Posted by Kent Dills, Bellingham, Washington Real Estate 817-495-8028 (Broker, Dills Real Estate) almost 2 years ago

Broker Bryant, 

Yes, it does depend on who is representing the sellers and how much experience they have.  Well said, and I appreciate the general ballpark number.  

I'm curious to actual determine the number of house sold overall.  We have many more expired's and withdrawn's every month than actual sales.  Obviously some churn through many many agents, and some never sell.  

All the best, Michelle

Posted by Michelle Francis Realtor Buckhead Atlanta Homes for Sale & Lease (Tim Francis Realty) almost 2 years ago

Lol...

I was all ready to come in here and let you have it for not parking me :)

TLW...ROAR!

Posted by "The Lovely Wife" (Broker Bryant's Wife) The One And Only TLW. (President-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

Bryant...All of my short sale listings actually close eventually, maybe not the first buyer or even the second offer...but if it is listed as a short sale someone other than the seller I listed it for eventually owns it.

Posted by Steve Loynd, Alpine Lakes Real Estate Inc., Loon Mt, NH. almost 2 years ago

Not sure if I can speak here or is this spot reserved for TLW too lol?  I am still confused about short sales because it is all so foreign to me.  When I first joined AR two years ago I had no idea what they were because there they were, everywhere.

I learned fast.  We don't have them here in Canada.  If a house goes Power of Sale (foreclosure) the Lending Institution takes over the property, lists with an Agent who has to try to get fair market value.  It is sold as is with no warranty's etc. and the previous owner has the opportunity to redeem the outstanding amount owing up until the date of closing.

But I have never see that happen.  By the time they are gone there is no equity left, similar obviously to short sales.

What I don't understand is why the process takes so long to close a short sale?  I'm sure buyers must get frustrated not knowing if they are getting the house or not?

Do you feel that lending institutions should be in the real estate business??  Personally I don't.  Do they understand real estate?  The problem I find is that you as an agent if the front man, doing the face to face business with the buyers. 

To the lenders the buyers are just a number on a piece of paper.  Are the sellers still involved with the offer negotiations of a short sale or not?  I'm assuming they are no longer living in the house when it goes on the market as a short sale?

Sorry to be so long in mouth here but I guess I still don't understand the process. 

Posted by Jenny Kotulak (Broker RE/MAX Aboutowne Realty Corp., Oakville, Ontario) almost 2 years ago

Kent. Thats the point of the post. As a listing broker I see a short sale as a porperty. Buyer agents see the short sale as a transaction. My properties close. Even though it may take 5 transactions. So for me I got the job done. Make sense?

So the true test would be what percentage of properties placed on the market as a short sale get closed.

Posted by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc almost 2 years ago

Oh, one other thing I forgot.  As REALTORS we have access to the land registry so we know when a property has changed hands.  All sales are recorded even if sold privately so we have a better understanding of what has sold in a neighborhood when we are doing a market evaluation.

Are those facts and figures available to you?  You would be able to know if a property has actually closed and for how much.

Posted by Jenny Kotulak (Broker RE/MAX Aboutowne Realty Corp., Oakville, Ontario) almost 2 years ago

BB, too bad you couldn't get those number compiled as they would have been interesting. Your ratio on closed short sales is fabulous and a seller would do themselves proud to have your team behind them. Experience does make a difference.

Posted by Lyn Sims - Schaumburg Homes (Schaumburg Real Estate - Northwest Suburbs - RE/MAX Suburban) almost 2 years ago

Short sales are still a mystery to me.  I leave those to the experts like yourself :o)!  Perhaps someday I will take the time to learn about them, but I am just getting my feet wet with regular listings!  Great information though!

Posted by Brenda Mullen-ABR, e-Pro-210-807-0819 Selling San Antonio TX Area Real Estate (Keller Williams Realty) almost 2 years ago

I am VERY interested to see what you and other agents have to say. My BofA buddy says that over 90% of all short sale applications are denied....obviously this includes the crummy offers turned in over the past two years. It also includes sellers who asked for a short sale but were turned down because their finances didn't warrant it, it was a second home, etc. As more listing agents become better at qualifying their clients, the numbers should go up for listed properties. But the total number is so fuzzy, as you say, because of canceled and expired listings.

PLEASE publish info that you get....this is so interesting!

Posted by Leslie Ebersole, REALTOR® Chicago's Western Suburbs (Baird&Warner Fox Valley) almost 2 years ago

BB, I thought that's how you were counting your numbers - just wanted clarification.  And I probably close about 90% of my short sale listings too!  Of course, using some of the stuff I've learned about and advice I've gotten on ShortSaleSuperStars.com!  ;-)

Posted by Kent Dills, Bellingham, Washington Real Estate 817-495-8028 (Broker, Dills Real Estate) almost 2 years ago

BB,

Blessed or extra talented? Obviously I AM both because I too have a great ratio. I did have buyers I represented back out after 5 months but that has been my only non-closing.

Posted by Irene Kennedy Realtor® in Northwestern NJ (Weichert) almost 2 years ago

From a buyer's perspective, the most important question is whether or not the short sale is going to close on a house they are interested in.  In other words, will the transaction close for the buyer?  What are the odds that a buyer's offer will get accepted by the seller and get approved by the lender?

From a seller's perspective, the most important question may be what percentage of listings get closed by the listing agent.  Secondarily for a seller would be what percentage of short sales are approved by their particular lender(s). 

If a listing agent is prequalifying the listing, then, of course, the agent's results will be high.  If an agent discovers that a property won't sell short, then he won't take it.  Proper evaluation of the property and owners is a big part of it.  So, if a great agent does not take on a listing, what percentage of those properties get listed by other agents, only to end up as REOs?

Posted by Bob Willis, Whittier Realtor® Whittier Real Estate - Whittier Homes (Prudential California Realty, Whittier California) almost 2 years ago

I am EXTREMELY careful when I show buyers short sale transactions and look at the list agents closing stats.  Some people take any listing to put a sign in the yard, gather inventory like it is a collection and then are unable to close the transaction because all they want are buyers and the inventory like it is a game.  You are correct - some of the best have EXTREMELY high close ratios like yours.  I bet even on the 10% that you aren't closing that you are getting approvals on probably 8% but the terms and conditions are not acceptable to the seller and it is impossible for them to move foward!

Posted by Renee Burrows - Las Vegas Real Estate - (702-580-1783) www.ShackDiva.com (BrokerThe Force Realty-REALTOR-Estate-Probate-REO-Short Sale) almost 2 years ago

Great comments. I will spend some time this week and see if I can up with a definitive answer.

Renee brings up a good point too. How many short sales are approved where the seller does not accept the terms or can't accept the terms. I have 2 right now that may go that way. One the seller needs to bring $3,500 to closing and there is no way he can get it. The deal is for only $60,000 so there is not enough money on the table to make it work. He may be foreclosed on.

I have another where the seller needs $22,000 to close because of delinquent HOA fees. The short sale is approved but again the seller may be foreclosed on.

We just can't help everyone.

So yes there is a percentage of deals that get foreclosed on even though the short sale was approved.

Posted by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc almost 2 years ago

BB, those are some pretty impressive figures you have going on there. I wish that the MLS would make stats easier to do, real stats that is.

Posted by Andrea Swiedler - Swiedler & Adams - New Milford, Litchfield CT Real Estate (Prudential Connecticut Realty, Litchfield County Real Estate) almost 2 years ago

Bob. I think if the buyer is willing to wait through the process AND the listing agent has experience and negotiated a strong contract with a fair price then odds are very high the deal will close. I believe lenders do want to do short sales BUT it has to make sense. The price has to be right.

Jenny. I certainly agree with you that lenders should not be in the business of selling real estate. But they are and it is very frustrating. We are used to working together to get a transaction closed. The lenders are adversarial and make straight forward tranmsacti0ons very complicated.

Posted by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc almost 2 years ago

Your 90% I think is correct for those with the talent and the experience,as well as patience. The ones taht don't close I find are ones where the sleers are not willing to take care of negotiated settlements on items like credit cards that attach to the house. Discover Card is the worst. Soemtimes divorce attorneys can be vindicative when they aren't paid. Even though they know that the house is lost, they can be impossible. BOA and the other lenders are ususally easier to deal with despite the bureaucracy. It may take awhile but i know we'll get there.  

Posted by Joe Pryor.com REALTOR® Oklahoma Investment Properties (Redbud Realty) almost 2 years ago

If you go straight by MLS stats and simply pull the number of short sales during a period that sold versus those that expired or got withdrawn, the percentage is really about 10%.  Pretty sad.  I've analyzed those numbers several times using the MFRMLS data and that is about the number. 

But yes if you are an experienced short sale Realtor and screen out the transactions that have multiple liens in place, that aren't desirable properties, or that have uncooperative sellers, then you can get your closing percentage way up there in the 80%-90% range. 

Posted by Rob Arnold, metro Orlando full service, investor friendly & foreclosure Realtor (Sand Dollar Realty Group, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

Given the attitude of the banks I find it hard to believe a 90% short sale closing percentage(No offense).

That is unless part of your screening process is to identify lender(s) you've worked with in the past that is automatically amenable to your short sale offers forsaking all others??...then I could buy it.

Posted by Mortgage Insider Media, Inc. almost 2 years ago

Hi Bryant, your post is so important as we're constantly hearing that Short Sales don't close and this simply is not the case if Sellers hire qualified Realtors to get the job done; like you, I too have a very high closing ratio of about 96%/97%. This is because I have chosen to educate myself and do all that I can to make sure my Sellers avoid foreclosure by getting their Short Sale to closing. It is so much more than just listing the property and hoping it sells. If you're not willing to go the distance in a Short Sale you are doing your Sellers a huge disservice, in fact, your ethics are in question in my opinion.

Posted by Lynn Pineda-Coral Springs REALTOR® Selling your South Florida home (Keller Williams Partners Realty) almost 2 years ago

90% of the short sales that experienced agents list will sell, because they won't take it unless they know it will close.

 

20-25% of short sales close with inexperienced agents because they just list whatever, with 50% loss, no true hardship etc etc.

 

You are correct, both stats are accurate.

Posted by Lane Midgett (1776 Real Estate Group Richmond, VA Local Expert ) almost 2 years ago

Very, very interesting!   I truly think it is around 20%, they just seem so difficult!

Posted by Pippa MAC, The Woodlands TX Real Estate Remax Real Estate Spring Texas Realtor (Remax Realtor, The Woodlands and Spring) almost 2 years ago

Rob..10%? But the problem with the way you did is do you know how many of those expired and withdrawn listings were relisted and then sold? Or am I missing something?

Lynn. Your stats are what I'm talking about. Katerina Gassett, Wendy Rulnick. Jeff Payne and most of the other also achieve 90% plus.

Posted by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc almost 2 years ago

I'm at 50% right now.  I've had to deal with some nasty 2nd lien holders who will agree to release the lien in order for the sale to proceed but they either want:

  • $$ from the seller that the 1st won't allow regardless of who brings it to the table --OR--
  • require the seller to sign a promise to pay to cover the deficiency amount

After a seller consultation with a local attorney who specializes in loan contracts, many of my sellers have been advised to foreclose.  This was to either avoid mortgage fraud, or to avoid owing hundreds of thousands that would be wiped out if a foreclosure were to happen.

I'm sure a lot depends on which State you live in as well, different State, different laws.

Posted by Cynthia Larsen - Sonoma County Real Estate Broker (707-332-2560 www.safehavenrealty.com) almost 2 years ago

All of mine either close, reneg their mortgage terms (...ok...go owner... but they often return unable to meet the new supposedly helpful terms) or eventually foreclose (small percentage with uncooperative or demotivated sellers.)

Looking at our overall market, it is hard to pull stats due to our MLS limiting the areas you can market/disclose short sale in the property description. I would estimate an agreement that while one property may have multiple willing buyers, generally, when lead by an experienced short sale agent, that property will close about 9 outa 10 times. Far from the 20-25% people like to throw out. I mean, if you count the consumer who calls his bank and asks, "Uhhh, whut can AI dew 'bout it?" then that isn't really a qualified short sale attempt and can't be counted in the stats. People legitimately trying and actually hiring a realtor to close their short sale? Numbers are decent.

Posted by Kristen Ueckert 817-422-3322 Keller Texas Real Estate (Ueckert Realty LLC) almost 2 years ago

Oh yes, experience isn't expensive, it's priceless.

Patricia/Seacoast NH

Posted by PATRICIA AULSON, REALTOR Portsmouth NH Homes-Hampton NH Homes (PRUDENTIAL VERANI REALTY- Portsmouth NH Real Estate ) almost 2 years ago

You do know what you're doing!  And your Superstar program is great!  P.S. like your new digs!

Posted by Carla Muss-Jacobs - Exclusive Buyers Agent Portland | Portland Real Estate | (503-810-7192 | BuyersAgentPortland.com) almost 2 years ago

I've only had 1 buyer walk- after 9+ months. I prepare buyers they need to wait 3-6 months. I had one other that died when I was on the buyer side- the amount approved caused the seller to come back with a $200K counter.

I had 2 die from the listing side- 1 the seller never coughed up the necessary docs and went into foreclosure. The other one didn't have enough time in the redemption period. The buyer's agent knew that was a strong possibility when they wrote the offer, but it was worth a shot.

I don't know how important it is to be an experienced short sale agent as much as just being a knowledgeable, experienced agent in general. My first short sale was no more difficult than one today- I hate them all equally :). Maybe I'm too simplistic about it, but knowing what fair market value is for the house, making sure the buyer is strong and motivated to get that house, prepare both buyer and seller for possible outcomes (may need to cough up money or sign promissory note, etc- buyers prepared for possible counter after waiting 3+ months). Heck- it doesn't even seem that the hardship has to be all that devastating. The bank benefits more from a short sale than letting it go into foreclosure- at least in Michigan where we have a 6 month redemption after the sheriff's sale (12 months if it's on 3+ acres).

Posted by Jackie Hawley - Southeast Michigan Real Estate (Keller Williams Realty) almost 2 years ago

I have heard some horror stories here and in the office. Cannot say I will be sorry to see the short sales fade into the sunset at some point. God bless the people that say they love them.

Posted by John Elwell (CENTURY 21 Bill Nye Realty, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

Bryant short sales are not a large part of the loans I do, but I would have to say that more than 70 - 80 percent of them have closed.  The few that have not closed were because they were going on four months and the buyers walked away.

Posted by George Souto NMLS# 65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages Connecticut almost 2 years ago

THis is part of the reason I co-list my short sales with an agent in my office.   I market better...he negotiates better.    he has a pretty good track record of getting short sales closed...even if it takes a few buyers!   

Posted by deborahbyron almost 2 years ago

I dont do many listings but from from my limited experience and from what I observe, Id say:  They all close. Of course some close at the court house, but they all close.

Posted by Ron Parise (LocateHomes.com) almost 2 years ago

BB, we also have probably a 90% closing rate on short sales, but we know how to make it happen and also work with the selling agent to educate their buyers.

Posted by Frank & Sharon Alters, CDPE-Short Sales Jacksonville-Orange Park-Fleming Island (Coldwell Banker Vanguard Realty - Clay, Duval, St. Johns ) almost 2 years ago

Good Blog makes you think about the question.  Short Sales take a lot of work and understanding of the process. 

Posted by Michael Ford (Coldwell Banker Heritage Homes) almost 2 years ago

I guess my question is how motivated are the banks going to be to close them over the next 2-3 years. The 1 lender is often not the probelm here, but most loans going short in this area have 2 loans. So how motivated re the second lenders to get some money vs no money, or vs mortgage insurance?

Marcy

Posted by Marcy Moyer C.D.P.E. (Keller Williams Realty Palo Alto Probate & Trust Specialist) almost 2 years ago

Interesting about the comment on the BOA comment. I wonder of the 90% that get denied, is it because of the package, no hardship, etc.  Would be great to know why that percentage is so high according to that BOA rep.

Posted by Tamara Inzunza, CRS, ePro | Alexandria VA Real Estate & Short Sales (McEnearney Associates, Inc. | www.MovingToNova.com) almost 2 years ago

Bryant- We close 99% of our short sales. We have the highest closing ratio in our mls because we don't give up. We also make sure the seller is on board. 

But we also take strategic short sales, we have short sale from attorneys ( their own personal properties) and we also get a good share of realtors who list their own personal properties with us as short sales. We prep our sellers. They know if they have a hardship we can get the deal done without much from them and if they have NO financial hardship they are ready to pitch in for a cash contribution or a promissory note. We like those the best actually because they are very fast to close most of the time. 

We just had the first short sale that we ever had that went to foreclosure before we could close the deal. We could not get an extension and the bank would not postpone the sheriff's sale because our seller disappeared after we tried for 2 years to get it closed. So there was no one to show up at court and he stopped using his attorney, well, actually, his particular attorney took his money and did nothing, so the seller had a trust issue with attorneys. Hind sight is 20./20, we took that listing over 2 years ago and if we knew then what we know now- we would never have taken the listing in the first place. 

Posted by Nestor & Katerina Gasset Realtors® Wellington Florida Homes For Sale (International Properties and Investments LLC) almost 2 years ago

Bank of America VP of Loss Mitigation said that they have changed their focus. They want to do short sales instead of REOs during the next couple of years. 

We love BofA short sales, send us all your BofA short sale referrals for Palm Beach County :) 

Posted by Nestor & Katerina Gasset Realtors® Wellington Florida Homes For Sale (International Properties and Investments LLC) almost 2 years ago

#26...yea...thats what a short sale is.

Posted by Lane Midgett (1776 Real Estate Group Richmond, VA Local Expert ) almost 2 years ago
I know who I'd be calling. Myself of course!!! ;-). Ok I admit it, you haven't taught me everything you know yet, but I'm getting there.
Posted by Nathan Tutas (Tutas Towne Realty, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

Bryant... Are you counting the ones that actually get a contract on them or just all that have actually been listed. Would be interesting to see both ways.

Posted by Roland Woodworth,SFR - Clarksville Short Sale and Foreclosure Resource (Keller Williams Realty) almost 2 years ago

Bryant,

As a Canadian I'm having trouble wrapping my head around why Realtors get involved with short sales & Reo's. What Im getting is the banks aren't playing ball at all and it seems extremely frustrating and a tough way to make a dollar. Help me put here; what's the attraction?

Posted by Terry Chenier (Homelife Glenayre Realty) almost 2 years ago

BB - I have closed 100 % of my short sale listings.

OK, OK - make that short sale listing - I have only listed one.  :)  Countrywide before BofA and Equator.  9 months.  It was a referral from an AR member.  There were NO experienced short sale agents here at the time to give it to, so I told the seller that I had no experience and took the listing and, "I got by with a little help from my friends."  And 2 attorneys and 1 tax advisor.  At least I knew to do that.

I have only written 1 offer on a short sale, ever - and it was an accident.  When we got the counter back with short sale disclosure, THEN I found out it was a short sale.  We gave it a shot, then bounced because the sellers moved out, turned off the power and water, it was literally drying up after 3 months - you can't do that in the desert weather.  And the listing agent did not know how to do a short sale, she had never even called the bank, said that was "between the sellers and the bank."  :)  The buyers just didn't want the property anymore because of it's deteriated condition.  The listing agent said that it was the bank's responsibility to maintain the property.

We do have a few experienced ss agents here now - I would refer to them and I know the difference between a good experienced ss agent and an agent who will list anything.

 

 

Posted by Virginia Hepp - Mesquite NV MLS - Sun City Mesquite - 55+ Buyer Representative (ERA - Mesquite NV Homes For Sale) almost 2 years ago

I've closed more than 10 short sale sides in the past 2 years, and I've yet to have any of my SS not close. Thanks for presenting this topic. Good conversation.

Posted by AMBER NOBLE-GARLAND, CDPE Top Realtor in Marlboro, Manalapan, Freehold & beyond (Strategic Marketing Expert & Short Sale Specialist in NJ) almost 2 years ago

Jane Pacheco

90% sounds about right. The few short sales that I lose, I only have the lender to blame and no one else. No matter how committed and patient the buyer is to his offer, you can't expect him to stick it out for more than 3 months, especially if there is no movement at all. Some lenders are indifferent to the plight of buyers especially in today's market when the housing supply is met by an increased buying interest. Buyers will always want a fall back, and when that fall back gets approved first, you let go of the first offer. Then you start over. Unfortunately in some instances, this vicious cycle is repeated several times until, finally, that dreaded foreclosure date comes, and no more extension is granted.   When you are able to close a great majority of your short sales, it's still not easy to see even one fall through.

Posted by Pacheco Realty & Financial Services almost 2 years ago

My closing's run arounmd 90%, and like Renee mentioned sometimes the problem with closing others are the acceptability to sellers of the terms.

I see many times the number of homes that are short sales in escrow than those that close in a month.  It appears that there is a glut of many months of short sales sitting in limbo/escrow.

Posted by Christine Donovan Costa Mesa CA Homes Broker/Attorney 800-610-7253 DRE01267479 (Donovan Blatt Team - Donovan Group Realty) almost 2 years ago

One way or another all Short Sales close through a sale; however, foreclosure is not the sales homeowners want.  I know - dark humor.

Gaining approval on a short sale before or at the begining of a listing is very important and well done by you (and your team if you have one).  That is good for your sellers, and it is what enables those transactions to close with a sale to a homebuyer instead of the bank.

Aaron

Posted by Aaron Silverman (S&S Investments, LLC) almost 2 years ago

Obviously a great post due to the number of comments. I agree, the statistics for experienced and inexperienced agents vary a LOT! I close them too, but it's not easy.

Posted by Michelle Carr-Crowe (408) 252-8900 Sells San Jose, Saratoga & Cupertino homes (Just Call ... (408) 252-8900 . Keller Williams Cupertino) almost 2 years ago

Hi Bryant, thanks for sharing this post very interesting subject.  I am pretty new to short sales and I am working on my first one now!  So I can't say to much YET!

Thanks

T

Posted by Tom Ramsey (Century 21 Northland) almost 2 years ago

My numbers are somewhat  lower. . but I carried  as many as 50 short sales listings at any one time. We lose short sales because the lenders are so behind and don't understand that it takes a special kind of buyer to wait 6 months + for an approval. . .and sometimes, we found that sellers can not live under that stress and  they just move out and become less helpful to close the short sale. I lost at least 3 short sales this year with an APPROVAL ON HAND. . that hurts.

Posted by Fernando Herboso #1 Real Estate Site www.ReallyNiceHomes.com in MD & VA (Herboso & Associates LLC- Broker 240.426.5754) almost 2 years ago

Depending on how you count the statistics, I would guess the number of short sale pendings would have the 20 to 25% close rate as some buyers are impatient and walk.  But, if you consider it from the listing side, than I think you're right and a very high percentage close.

Posted by Gabe Sanders, Stuart Florida Real Estate (Martin County Residential Homes, Condos and Land Sales) almost 2 years ago

I'd estimate that 90% of short sales that I list close. As you rightly point out, the lower percentage includes buyers that walk, prior brokers, and lots of other stuff.

Posted by J. Philip Faranda (J. Philip R.E. LLC) Westchester County NY almost 2 years ago

at times i see a buyer with multiple offers on different shorts. when one or two are finally approved they pick what they like and just walk from the other contract(s). no one holds their (escrow) feet to the fire, so they don't care.

when a lender approves a short they often give me an extremely short time frame to close. i used to process the applicant in full up front but found myself processing the loan 2 to 3 times due to expired docs. also the appraisal isn't done up front and in fla is/can be/is always a problem.

fun, fun, fun.

bottom line.

bring it on, i'm up for it.

Posted by Jay Beckingham (American Eagle Mortgage Co.) almost 2 years ago

Bryant ~ It's a tough one. I went to a seminar last week on www.homerescueinstitute.com

and this company will facilitate the short sale. Have you heard of them?

 

Posted by Monique Hailer (CENTURY 21 New Millennium) almost 2 years ago

Both buyers and sellers have to be qualified for a short sale to work.  Sellers are part of the team - if they don't cooperate, they shoot the transaction in the foot before it even gets started.  Qualifying sellers is critical.  And of course buyers (and their agents) have to be educated before submitting the offer, in the pitfalls & delays that are likely to occur.

Posted by Brian Schulman - Your Lancaster County, PA Real Estate Expert (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals, Lancaster PA) almost 2 years ago

You are SO right !  The percentage that we are personally involved with would be in the 80 to 90 percent range.  In many of those cases, we needed to get several buyers but the deals did close !  With other agents, there percentages will be much lower for sure just not having the experience with these types of deals, on both sides of the transaction.

Posted by Christopher and Stephanie Somers - Realtors - Philadelphia Real Estate (Realtor / Owner - RE/MAX Access) almost 2 years ago

Just tweeted this post from @phillyrealty

Posted by Christopher and Stephanie Somers - Realtors - Philadelphia Real Estate (Realtor / Owner - RE/MAX Access) almost 2 years ago

You are so very right, Bryant.  It's not entirely in the agent's or negotiator's hands... if the sellers drag their feet when asked for info, the process can really fall apart.  A listing agent can't exactly make that explanation to a frustrated buyers' agent, due to the listing agent's fiduciary relationship with the seller (in Maryland), but sometimes I just want to shout... "It's not my fault, it's not the bank, it's not the negotiator - we're doing our job the best we can without the seller's cooperation!"

Posted by Margaret Woda, Maryland Real Estate & Military Relocation Services (Long & Foster Real Estate, Inc., Crofton, MD) almost 2 years ago

Ah, the difference between Florida and Southeastern Pennsylvania!  Short sales are not the norm here.  And I've had 100% success with mine!

Posted by Richard Strahm -- Lansdale and North Penn Real Estate (RE/MAX Realty Group - Harleysville, PA) almost 2 years ago

Good perspective. I think realistic expectations about timing is a major make or break point.

Posted by Cheryl Ritchie, Southern Maryland Real Estate (RE/MAX 100) almost 2 years ago

I agree with your premise. Experience, either as a listing or buyer agent, involved in short sales is key to success.

Posted by Gary L Waters PLLC- Broker Associate Realtor® Melbourne Viera Rockledge FL (Century 21 Baytree Realty, 1211 Admiralty Blvd, Rockledge) almost 2 years ago

I'm around 90-92% myself. It seems the only ones I've lost are either the second lein holder wants an outrageous amount(like 75-80%) or the sellers are asked to sign a promissory note. Sometimes because the property shortsold is not their residence and their residence mtg. is being paid. Sometimes just because the investor is greedy and no matter what, always wants, "a little more"

Posted by Jeffrey Smith (Only Way Realty) almost 2 years ago

I think the primary reason why so many don't close is that the listing agent treats it too much like any other normal listing and sometimes they don't take the time to educate themselves thoroughly about the short sale process. I'm working with one now where the listing agent doesn't even know the name of the assigned negotiator.

Posted by Bernadine Hunter, SRES, ACRE, SFR (Keller Williams Greater Ohio Realty) almost 2 years ago

I think my numbers are a little bit lower but not by much. Now, if you asked how many get approved, I'd say it's closer to 99%. But there are reasons why they don't close, and sometimes those reasons have nothing to do with the seller and everything to do with the buyer. Although I did cancel a listing this year because the bank insisted on a seller contribution, and the seller was unwilling to contribute. This was a seller who at inception of the listing agreed to a contribution. However, I canceled another short sale listing and removed myself from the purchase contract simply because the seller was a crazy person. I never checked back to see if it closed.

I'd say that over the past 3 years, I've had one or two a year go to foreclosure.

Posted by Elizabeth Weintraub, Sacramento Short Sale Agent, Land Park, East Sac, Lyon RE (Top 1% at Lyon Real Estate #00697006) almost 2 years ago

I think the market also has an impact. You state you have about 90% of your listings are short. I assume your MLS has large numbers of short sales. In my market the number of short properties listed is under 10% (still a large number but not THAT large). Consequently buyers have lots to choose from and get antsy and move on.

Posted by Perrin Cornell, Broker, ABR (Century 21 Exclusively, Wenatchee, WA) almost 2 years ago

I was apparently wrong in my stats.  The last time I did research on this (probably 6 months ago), the figure of closed short sales was around 10% from what I recall.

I did a search this morning of all the MFRMLS listings that were listed during 2009 and designated short sales. Of those 41833 listings, 12287 are now sold.  That's 29% which is definitely much higher than it was a while back.  I'm pleasently surprised.

You are very right though.  An experienced agent can make the difference between selling the house and not selling the house.

Posted by Rob Arnold, metro Orlando full service, investor friendly & foreclosure Realtor (Sand Dollar Realty Group, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

Bryant, so far 5 for 5 have closed for committed clients - I've had one drop out of the process, no fault of the lienholders.  I see marked process improvement with the banks, and so long as we're positioning short sales with the right clients - these usually result in a win/win.  Can't advocate enough to let the title company do your dirty work if at all possible.

Posted by Lisa Moroniak | Service360° SFR - Short Sale & Foreclosure Certified (Keller Williams Realty | Northern Virginia | 703.635.0388) almost 2 years ago

Our personal stats are 80 to 90% currently.  We have a couple right now that we just need buyers for.  I agree with Bernadine's comment.  I think obtaining overall MLS stats is inaccurate data because there are so many agents listing short sales that don't know how to properly do a short sale.  It is unfortunate for the everyone involved. 

Posted by Joyce & Terry Thomas Anthem Merrill Ranch AZ Real Estate (US Preferred Realty) almost 2 years ago

I find the 25% number to be very low. In the Metro Phoenix area, on average we are closing 50% of all short sales (as a real estate community) and the better agents are closing 90% of thier short sale listings.

Short sales are not about "negotiating", they are about having a good system to follow up with banks, escalate when needed, and having an eganged buyer and seller. 

If an agent doesn't have time to run the process of short sale, they should hire the services if a good agent in thier office that handles a lot of short sales (or even a few, with successful results), or hire a 3rd party outside of thier office if their office doesn't have a good short sale agent (as long as your broker OKs it).

To become an expert in short sales is the same process as becoming an expert in anything: Take a lot of classes, ask a lot of questions, mentor with someone who is successful, and then do it on your own.

In success!

 

Posted by Jon Clark almost 2 years ago

Short sales are not a lot of fun. Doesn't matter which side you represent. It sounds like it depends on where you are. I would guess about 40% close here in my market.

Posted by Scott Baker Realtor Homes for Sale in Cincinnati, West Chester, Mason, OH area (www.eHomeReports.com Coldwell Banker West Shell) almost 2 years ago

I think the lowest percentage of closed short sale transactions I've had in one year was 75%.  That 20-25% is definitely way off.  Once I get a contract to the bank, I've got 100% success getting approval, but between buyers having moved on and forgotten to tell the list side, and sellers who do not like the terms of the approval and decide to let the property go to foreclosure, that's where some don't make it to the settlement table.

Posted by Chris Ann Cleland, Associate Broker, Northern VA (Long & Foster REALTORS®, Gainesville, VA) almost 2 years ago

One of the problems with our local MLS is that it's hard to determine which properties are short sales. We're working on a field to identify these properties, but it has not yet been implemented.

Personally I have closed over 90 percent of my 50+ short sale listings in the past 4 years.  What I have noted is the listing volume is climbing so it will be interesting to see if there are enough buyers to absorb the volume.

Tom 

 

Posted by Tom Branch | Broker, CDPE, SFR, ACRE | Plano TX Ambassador | 214-227-6626 (RE/MAX Dallas Suburbs) almost 2 years ago

Bryant: I heard the figure of 70% from the realtor I work with and she is also an expert on these things. Perhaps it varies by market but I agree with you. If the realtor knows what he/she is doing a high percentage should close. Thanks for the post!

Posted by Paul McFadden Mortgage Loan Officer Bellevue Washington Home Loans (The Legacy Group) almost 2 years ago

I do not know what the percentage is here...But your post is going to make me look and I wanted to claim my spot!

Posted by Jenna Dixon, Assoc Broker, NW Metro Atlanta (DRA Homes (Atlanta, GA)) almost 2 years ago

So far I'm batting 1000 because I haven't had one of my short sale listings go to foreclosure...yet! I haven't got them all done...yet. But I will keep working and keep my fingers crossed!

Posted by Erik Elsea-Jones & Co. Realty almost 2 years ago

Good point!

Posted by Anonymous almost 2 years ago

Bryant: As those of us who have dealt with multiple short sale transactions know, it depends which banks are involved.  Short sale closing percentage should be a percentage figure provided openly to the public.  Maybe then (after some strong public outrage) banks like BOA and Chase can get their acts together.

I'd love to see both the national and per state averages on 'All' transactions as well as 'Per Bank' transactions.  It would be surprising for the public, but not so much for us Realtors.

Posted by *ROCK REALTY|Broker|Realtor|Real Estate|WI Short Sale Agent* almost 2 years ago

Depends on the bank...depends on the buyer...does he stick or do we start over. If we start over can we hold the particular bank off to get the short sale done?

 

Posted by Missy Caulk-Ann Arbor-Realtor® Ann Arbor Real Estate (Keller Williams-Ann Arbor) almost 2 years ago

"To become an expert in short sales is the same process as becoming an expert in anything: Take a lot of classes, ask a lot of questions, mentor with someone who is successful, and then do it on your own."

You have to start somewhere and study , study,- here in MN we have a different system with our long redeemption period- know your state systems.

 

 

Posted by Kathleen Lordbock Keller Williams Realty Brainerd Lakes ( KW REALTOR/Staging & Short Sale Specialist) almost 2 years ago

I often get asked that same question, I'm going to do some more research and try to find out the real figures.

Posted by Erika Rogers-St George Utah Real Estate 435-229-8801 relocatetosunnystgeorge.com (St George Utah & surrounding areas) almost 2 years ago

Great information with good incite, god job

Posted by Eric Anderson, Fayetteville, NC Realtor® Fort Bragg Military Relocation Services (Prudential PenFed Realty (Fayetteville)) almost 2 years ago

Bryant, whatever the percentage is, I'll bet it's a lot higher than it was a year ago.  I still haven't done one, but my colleagues who do are having pretty good luck, especially when they line up their ducks with the bank ahead of time.

Posted by Patricia Kennedy (Evers & Company Realtors) almost 2 years ago

I would agree that about 20% of short sales actually close as a short sale.  Virtually all of these homes will close, but not necessarily within the short sale process.

Posted by Kent Anderson (Coldwell Banker Realty-Schweitzer Mountain, Sandpoint, Idaho) almost 2 years ago

Bryant, I think the key is the experienced Short Sale Agent.  If I have a buyer who does not want to buy through me because I am the listing agent, I will refer them to a competent short sale agent who can represent them.

Posted by Damon Gettier Broker/Owner ABRM, GRI, CDPE (RE/MAX 1st REALTY- Roanoke Virginia Short Sale Expert) almost 2 years ago

Bryant,

I agree that experience is everything, which is why I refer most of my short sale leads to a well qualified fellow broker, despite my desire to do it all!  It's just vital to have that experience to make sure that you have a well qualified party on both sides of the transaction.

I also agree that it the two statistics are often confused - Closed Short Sale Contracts versus Closed Short Sale Transactions - and that it is important to clarify which you are referring to and also how you came to your numbers/assumptions.

It doesn't seem like Northern Colorado is doing quite as well with our Contract close rate as you are seeing in your area.  I've seen a fairly high number of these (I'd make a very rough guess at >40% or so) drop off the market to reappear as REO's shortly after.  It's amazing how many of these had current contracts in the holding pattern when they foreclosed.

Thanks for the great insight and good post!

Posted by Dee Bundy and Leslie Leis Northern Colorado Home Team (Fort Collins Realtor @ ERA Herman Group Real Estate NoCo) almost 2 years ago

Hey BB: As always great question. I have been fortunate (worked my a$$$ off) to get just about all of mine approved. I had one in the last 10 that did not close because the second lender was a jerk and would not negotiate anything. The first foreclosed, the second got a judgement on a coupl in the 70's with cancer and no money, nice guys.

Hey to TLW....

 

Kelly in the KEYS

Posted by Coco Plum Real Estate, Kelly Willey, FLORIDA KEYS almost 2 years ago

Bryant - great post here and you are right about the qualifications of the agent and experience re: success with short sales.

Posted by Sharon Paxson Newport Beach Real Estate (Prudential California Realty, DRE License 01501912) almost 2 years ago
There is one other kind of short sale expert that no one is talking about. If we had more buyer's agents who knew the ropes in short sales there may not be as many buyers trying to walk away from deals. If I get a buyer under contract on a short sale you can bet they know the process backwards and forwards. If you don't educate them all you did was waste your time.
Posted by Nathan Tutas (Tutas Towne Realty, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

An agent friend has a saying I like. All homes will close eventually. Just do your best to make sure your the agent who gets it closed.

Posted by Scott Hayes Austin Real Estate Agency Austin, Texas ((512) 786-8300) almost 2 years ago

Our experience mirrors yours.  Buyers write multiple offers on different properties waiting for the first one to come through with an approval.  Fortunately, we're experienced Short Sale agents and we're selling over 90% of all our short sales.  They do take time but eventually they all close.

Thanks for all your insights into the Short Sale market. 

Posted by Diane & Doug Briggs Sacramento & Elk Grove Short Sale Agents (Re/Max Gold, DRE #10410348/#01346951) almost 2 years ago

They are alot easier than 3 years ago and we are alot better at being picky on which ones to accept as listings also :)

Posted by Jeff & Grace Safrin, Broker / Owners, SFR, CRS, Northwest Indiana (F.C.Tucker 1st Team Real Estate) almost 2 years ago

I think a better percentage to consider is how many of your short sales do you get approved. The approval is what you're responsible for and is a better measurement for success in short sales. The closing is something that is entirely different and many times out of your hands if you are only representing the seller.

Another difficulty in getting that type of percentage is more of a question of research methods than findings based on facts. Uh??? Forgive me, I'm a clinical psychologist and therefore do a lot of psychological research. One of the worst things you can do in medical research is compare apples to oranges. Ask anyone involved in more than 10 short sale transactions if any of their files were comparable.

So maybe you close a deal with Wells Fargo that was a conventional loan, one lien, HOA past due, Fannie Mae-backed and the offer is 90% of the BPO value. Compare that to the next deal you close with Bank of America whose loan was an ARM, two liens, 2nd mortgage with Wells Fargo, HOA past due, private investor, and a cash offer that is 88% of the BPO value. Each short sale is different and it is unfair to use a closing percentage as a measurement for your success.

Posted by Street Russell (Short Sale Asylum) almost 2 years ago

Bryant - I agree - if you concentrate on selling short sales, your percentages should be over 90.... If not, look at your seller qualifications (to start).

Posted by Wendy Rulnick "Its Wendy!" Destin FL Short Sales (Rulnick Realty, Inc.) almost 2 years ago

I wish the buyers agents would explain the short sale process from start to finish with their clients. They all seem to want to walk away from the deal 3 or 4 weeks after putting an offer in. They need to know that not only could it take months, it might be the only chance for the sellers to get out of a full blown foreclosure. They might not have time to get another buyer if the original one walks on them. Please, buyers agents, sit your clients down and tell them everything. It'll make everyones jobs easier!

Posted by Eric Michael, CDPE -Real Estate & Short Sale Professional 734.564.1519 (Remerica Integrity, Realtors®, Northville, MI) almost 2 years ago

Lane #23  . . . I COMPLETELY AGREE with you (giggle)

Luck is Laboring Under Correct Knowledge.

Great agents don't take listings they can't sell.

Great short sale agents don't take listings the seller can't qualify to sell, or submit an offer the bank won't approve, or (advise their seller to) accept an offer from a buyer who has no skin in the game.

Posted by Candice A Donofrio CRE Broker Fort Mohave AZ 928-201-4242 almost 2 years ago

I agree. Adding to the problem is agents who LIST short sale properties who have no clue what they're doing.

Posted by Erica Ramus - Ramus Realty Group - Pottsville, PA almost 2 years ago

Maybe my response is colored by the day I have had, but which lender you are dealing with plays such a role in the outcome of the transaction.  In the last three days, one approval from Litton Loan servicing, who is fabulous to deal with.  Clear communication, a single negotiator assigned and a quick process.  The packet sent to them on May 27, BPO ordered the 29th, negotiator assigned June 2. . . he called introduced himself, gave all his contact info, reviewed the HUD with me and negotiated changes in one phone call. Revised HUD was sent to the bank on June 3.  Approval letter arrived June 11th. A few clarifications and changes today and we are moving forward to close.

In contrast B of A. . . a nightmare!  Documents were uploaded to Equator March 30, BPO ordered within three weeks, all was looking good.  Negotiator assigned, check. . . Counteroffer on May 10.  Not a bad counter.  A few things we countered back on May 12, and then dead silence and no movement.

Of course we are dealing with Equator, so I tried contacting the negotiator that way, then escalated to a manager.  Phone calls revealed that the negotiator's tasks were way overdue.  We put in an escalation to another manager. Still no communication, there is no ability to get information when I call.  They have given me multiple names of managers with phone numbers and email addresses.  I have contacted each to no avail.  Half of the time when I send an email I get an auto response indicating that the person is out of the office and giving the name of someone else to contact in their absence.  I contact. . . no result. This had been going on for weeks until today when I am sent a letter declining the short sale, but to top it off the letter is BLANK!!!  Unbelievable!  

This was not a low ball, unrealistic offer, nor an uncooperative seller.  We had a fair market offer and a seller who has done absolutely everything asked of her through this whole process.  Three buyers and two years later, this is where we stand.

Sorry BB. . . this turned into a bit of a rant, but I have not lost one yet and this deal is not over as far as I am concerned!

Posted by Lori Gilmore - Will County Illinois Realtor (Realty Executives Success - Short Sale Professional) almost 2 years ago

I've lost very few short sales.....mainly the ones where the sellers did not cooperate or tell me their entire story.  I forget once in a while to go three deep and find the whole story.  Lost my first short sale of the year last week.....I knew I had two weeks to put the home under contract and that just wasn't enough time.  I believe 90% of my short sales close as well.

Posted by Kay Van Kampen–Springfield, Ozark, Nixa Greene County Missouri Real Estate Agent (RE/MAX Broker, RE/MAX Solutions) almost 2 years ago

I am thankful and blessed I have only lost 1short sale to foreclosure.  My states are high, and I do a lot for an indivdual agent.  I think the ones who don't close it is because of inexperienced buyers agents. they don't tell teh buyer how long it will really take.

 

Posted by Kelly Muscarella (Keller Williams/Realty Executives) almost 2 years ago

I could have signed under every word (and get the points -LOL)

Congratulations on crossing the 700K mark. itis not money, but a good indication of what it takes to be successful

Posted by Jon Zolsky, Daytona Beach, FL. FunCoast Realty, 386-405-4408 almost 2 years ago

WOW!! Really great responses everyone. Just like I suspected...the folks that do short sales consistantly from the lsiting side close 90%+.

I am going to try and come up with some figures from my MLS. Not quitre sure how I'm going to do it yet but I'll figure it out.

As always I appreciate your participation.

 

Posted by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc almost 2 years ago

I am closing over 90% of my short sales here in Massachusetts.  On occasion the bank will dig in its heels on a higher number than can be obtained.    

Posted by Kevin Vitali- Helping Massachusetts Home Buyers and Home Sellers (EXIT Realty- Massachusetts Short Sales & Residential Sale) almost 2 years ago

BB - I have found that in my market the more short sales became the norm, the more of these transactions closed. I think in the beginning banks were a problem, now reality has forced banks to either approve the short sale or foreclose and it's been proven that there is less to lose with a short sale. 

Posted by Carol Culkin, Dutchess County (Century 21 Alliance Realty Group ) almost 2 years ago

In our market 40-50% close.  Our closing ratio for "regular" Short Sales is 100%, if we include the Hail Mary's it's at about 93%.

Posted by Tony Marriott, Associate Broker, REALTOR® (Haven Express @ Keller Williams Arizona Realty) over 1 year ago

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